Thursday, June 22, 2006

The perfect problem

I just read an interesting article describing global warming as the "perfect problem" for its uniquely daunting confluence of forces:

  • complex and inaccessible scientific content

  • a substantial (and uncertain) time lag between cause and effect

  • inertia in all the key drivers of the problem, from demographic growth to long-lived energy infrastructure to ingrained daily habits at the household level

  • psychological barriers that complicate apprehension and processing of the issue, due in part to its perceived remoteness in time and place

  • partisan, cultural, and other filters that cause social discounting or obfuscation of the threat

  • motivational obstacles, especially the futility associated with what is perhaps the quintessential "collective action problem" of our time

  • mismatches between the global, cross-sectoral scope of the climate change issue and the jurisdiction, focus, and capacity of existing institutions

  • a set of hard-wired incentives, career and otherwise, that inhibit focused attention and action on the issue


There is a much longer report generated by these top thinkers (see PDF) but I haven't had a chance to read it yet. I guess it's a good thing that my purpose in life is solving complex problems because this one is as complex as they get.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

After talking to you about this on our walk, it made me think that we are going to come to some pretty ugly crises before we comprehensively deal with the global warming issue. I'm thinking there will be some seriously scary social and political upheaval over scarcity of energy resources before unified global action is taken. love you.