Monday, February 19, 2007

Useless men

About two and half months ago, I read an interesting article regarding peak oil and its implications for society. The gist of the article was that men in this generation don't have the fundamental skills required to survive (and provide for their families) in a society without cheap energy.

Over the last few weeks I have been doing oral history interviews with older people ... of their memories of the 30s, 40s and 50s. They remember working with horses on the farms, raising children with gas lamps, candles, home grown vegetables and home made clothes. This is less than 2 generations ago. What emerges is an innate sense, in the generation that made it through World War Two, of what constitutes enough, of an instinctive sense of self-reliance and an almost universal ability to turn one’s hand to anything.

A couple of years ago I went to London to a peak oil conference, and the evening before it I went to the pre-event social. I was struck by the fact that everyone there (with one exception) was male, aged 25-40, and, as far as I could tell, worked in IT. They were all very pleasant, intelligent, well read on the whole peak oil issue, and as able as anyone to argue that the peak is imminent and we need to act. There were however, almost no women, no gardeners, no builders, no foresters in the room, nor at the subsequent conference as far as I can tell.

Writers such as Shepherd Bliss and Carolyn Baker have questioned why it is that women are less prominent in the peak oil community. I have a nagging suspicion that it is because what we are seeing is, in part, a generation of men awakening to the fact that they are completely ill-prepared for life beyond oil. Almost all of the peak oil writers, and the vast majority of peak oil website writers and bloggers, are men. When I have organised peak oil-related events, finding female speakers on the subject is very tricky.

From the oral history interviews I have been doing, I have seen how older men are less concerned about “going back” to the kind of lifestyles of the 40s and 50s because they still remember how to do things. They often say “well it’s not a problem, I still know how to do all that stuff”. Something happened around the 1960s and the passing-on of that knowledge just stopped. Perhaps mens’ natural instinct is to protect and to provide, and at a time when we feel on some level the need to be doing so again, we are realising that our education has left us completely incapable of doing either. The oil-based economic system has basically said “don’t worry about that, we’ll take care of that for you” for that last 50 years, but that system is now starting to look very shaky, and we realise we have been taught the wrong skills.

The skills one needs to work in the service industry, in sales, in IT, in the insurance industry, in a call centre, are of very little use when one starts thinking about what might follow that in a more localised near-future. What those of 2 generations ago had that we have lost was a practical attitude. They knew how to use the various tools around them, and had a confidence that they could turn their hands to most things. They had the core skills they would need to get through most challenges. Dig for Victory was possible because most people still knew how to garden.

It is interesting to me how specialized professions have become and how much we take for granted in terms of food supply, transportation, etc. If you begin to unravel that support infrastructure, many other aspects of society (including specialized careers) no longer make sense. Need to get going on teaching the kids some basic skills.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

First of all, I would argue that the reason you don't find as many women in "peak oil" is that overall there is a dearth of women in math and science, particularly the hard sciences. My guess is that percentage-wise, there are no fewer women in peak oil than there are women math professors.

Secondly, I disagree that men are afraid to move back to the "old ways" because they don't know how to garden or use tools. Contrary to popular belief, being a productive gardener doesn't take a genius. It takes luck and a whole lot of practice. My guess is that if you handed a big-time CEO a shovel, he would figure out how to use it. After all, the cave men did.

gnp said...

This comment is from eaf. My only modification is removing my name from the beginning.

This is interesting, but at the same time, I have to wonder what the heck a "peak oil" conference is. The oil reserve numbers that are published by oil companies are highly dependent on price. Reserves estimation is actually based on the cost of oil (I know, since I used to do that for BP) and "available reserves" numbers rise dramatically with an increase in the cost of a barrel of oil. I'm not even sure that state-owned oil companies like those in Kuwait and Saudi are even bound to report "reserves" in any regulated manner. Add to that the fact that no one really has a clue how much oil is in the former Soviet Union (and believe me, it is lots and lots and lots, like Saudi-size accumulations) and I really can't take the peak oil thing very seriously. The projections are based on pseudo facts, at best.

In addition, I have trouble seeing how rising energy prices are going to cause any sort of apocalyptic future world where folks are going to have to make their own clothes or grow their own veggies in order to live. There could be significant economic impacts, for sure, but I still fail to see society on the verge of some sort of regressive collapse. In the last energy crisis (in the 70's) did such a thing occur?

My two cents. Sorry to bug in on your web site, but I thought I would offer some context.

gnp said...

It's intersting to see what topics get people fired up and which ones they ignore. In addition to these two comments, I got another one via email. A couple of things I should make more clear. One of the risks of blogging when you don't have enough time for it is only getting half of your point of view across.

At any rate, I don't think we're going to run out of oil anytime soon. Oil consumption is going to be an issue - especially from an environmental perspective - but we're not on the verge of any sort of economic collapse. Also, I'm confident that alternatives will emerge (from my company and others).

In addition, I've never been to a peak oil conference and can't comment on the composition of the attendees and why most are men. I don't really care about the gender aspect of the article I referenced.

What I do care about is the need for conservation and being thoughtful about consumption and how we setup our economy moving forward. With a little practical training (which isn't rocket science by any means), there are some easy ways to reduce consumption and make our lifestyles more sustainable. In that context, I think it's an interesting thought experiment to say "what if I cut my energy consumption to zero, what would that look like? ok that's not realistic so what's the minimum subset of consumption I need to work back in?"